tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Arcata/Eureka via San Francisco: arrives on time 71%

  1. 16:36 SEA → 18:48 SFO
    AS 1385 · Alaska · 2h 12m · 71% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 47m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:35 SFO → 23:59 ACV
    UA 4695 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 24m · 74% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 137 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 47m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip7h 23mSEA 16:36 to ACV 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.