tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Fresno via San Diego: arrives on time 46%

  1. 10:46 PDX → 13:27 SAN
    AS 1394 · Alaska · 2h 41m · 84% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:19 SAN → 15:42 FAT
    AS 3389 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 23m · 66% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip4h 56mPDX 10:46 to FAT 15:42, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.