tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Santa Rosa via San Diego: arrives on time 49%

  1. 10:46 PDX → 13:27 SAN
    AS 1394 · Alaska · 2h 41m · 84% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:37 SAN → 18:23 STS
    AS 2258 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 46m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 145 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip7h 37mPDX 10:46 to STS 18:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.