tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → San Francisco via Portland: arrives on time 61%

  1. 17:41 AUS → 19:50 PDX
    AS 1396 · Alaska · 4h 09m · 86% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 55m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 PDX → 23:36 SFO
    AS 2112 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 51m · 64% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 70 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 55m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip7h 55mAUS 17:41 to SFO 23:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.