tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Honolulu via Portland: arrives on time 44%

  1. 14:03 SAN → 16:36 PDX
    AS 1402 · Alaska · 2h 33m · 86% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:32 PDX → 20:24 HNL
    AS 841 · Alaska · 5h 52m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 3 h behind San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip9h 21mSAN 14:03 to HNL 20:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.