tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Medford via Portland: arrives on time 76%

  1. 14:03 SAN → 16:36 PDX
    AS 1402 · Alaska · 2h 33m · 86% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 PDX → 18:48 MFR
    AS 2163 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 03m · 87% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip4h 45mSAN 14:03 to MFR 18:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.