tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → San Francisco via Santa Ana: arrives on time 47%

  1. 07:00 PDX → 09:37 SNA
    AS 1404 · Alaska · 2h 37m · 89% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Santa Ana (SNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:50 SNA → 12:27 SFO
    AS 3486 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 37m · 49% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip5h 27mPDX 07:00 to SFO 12:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.