tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → San Francisco via Portland: arrives on time 70%

  1. 10:57 SNA → 13:21 PDX
    AS 1405 · Alaska · 2h 24m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 28m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:49 PDX → 16:40 SFO
    AS 236 · Alaska · 1h 51m · 73% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 43 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 28m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip5h 43mSNA 10:57 to SFO 16:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.