tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → New York via Seattle: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:13 SMF → 08:16 SEA
    AS 1409 · Alaska · 2h 03m · 100% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:29 SEA → 17:55 JFK
    AS 34 · Alaska · 5h 26m · 76% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip8h 42mSMF 06:13 to JFK 17:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.