tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Baltimore via Seattle: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:13 SMF → 08:16 SEA
    AS 1409 · Alaska · 2h 03m · 100% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:03 SEA → 17:04 BWI
    AS 378 · Alaska · 5h 01m · 84% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 51mSMF 06:13 to BWI 17:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.