tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Austin via Seattle: arrives on time 65%

  1. 06:13 SMF → 08:16 SEA
    AS 1409 · Alaska · 2h 03m · 100% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:05 SEA → 15:14 AUS
    AS 422 · Alaska · 4h 09m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip7h 01mSMF 06:13 to AUS 15:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.