tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Everett via Portland: arrives on time 87%

  1. 07:20 SFO → 09:02 PDX
    AS 1410 · Alaska · 1h 42m · 93% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 50m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:52 PDX → 11:53 PAE
    AS 2126 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 01m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 65 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 50m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip4h 33mSFO 07:20 to PAE 11:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.