tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → New York via Seattle: arrives on time 78%

  1. 17:28 SJC → 19:39 SEA
    AS 1413 · Alaska · 2h 11m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 36m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:15 SEA → 07:38 JFK +1 day
    AS 22 · Alaska · 5h 23m · 81% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 11h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 171 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 36m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip11h 10mSJC 17:28 to JFK 07:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.