tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Reno via Seattle: arrives on time 66%

  1. 17:28 SJC → 19:39 SEA
    AS 1413 · Alaska · 2h 11m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:52 SEA → 22:40 RNO
    AS 736 · Alaska · 1h 48m · 80% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 12mSJC 17:28 to RNO 22:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.