tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Portland via Seattle: arrives on time 45%

  1. 17:28 SJC → 19:39 SEA
    AS 1413 · Alaska · 2h 11m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 SEA → 21:22 PDX
    AS 2387 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 57m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip3h 54mSJC 17:28 to PDX 21:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.