tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Kahului via Honolulu: arrives on time 43%

  1. 08:15 SJC → 10:49 HNL
    AS 1416 · Alaska · 5h 34m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:44 HNL → 12:28 OGG
    AS 1096 · Alaska · 44m · 79% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kahului is 3 h behind San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 13mSJC 08:15 to OGG 12:28, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.