tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → San Diego via Seattle: arrives on time 19%

  1. 08:20 SJC → 10:31 SEA
    AS 1426 · Alaska · 2h 11m · 41% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:26 SEA → 14:18 SAN
    AS 1346 · Alaska · 2h 52m · 55% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection35%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 65% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (35%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip5h 58mSJC 08:20 to SAN 14:18, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.