tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Lihue via Seattle: arrives on time 25%

  1. 08:20 SJC → 10:31 SEA
    AS 1426 · Alaska · 2h 11m · 41% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:28 SEA → 14:40 LIH
    AS 258 · Alaska · 6h 12m · 69% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 9h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection38%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 62% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (38%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip9h 20mSJC 08:20 to LIH 14:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.