tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Spokane via Seattle: arrives on time 17%

  1. 08:20 SJC → 10:31 SEA
    AS 1426 · Alaska · 2h 11m · 41% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:23 SEA → 12:29 GEG
    AS 449 · Alaska · 1h 06m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection28%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 72% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time17%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (28%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip4h 09mSJC 08:20 to GEG 12:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.