tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Burbank via Seattle: arrives on time 15%

  1. 08:20 SJC → 10:31 SEA
    AS 1426 · Alaska · 2h 11m · 41% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:20 SEA → 13:56 BUR
    AS 529 · Alaska · 2h 36m · 73% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection22%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 78% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time15%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (22%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip5h 36mSJC 08:20 to BUR 13:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.