tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Denver via Seattle: arrives on time 46%

  1. 08:20 SJC → 10:31 SEA
    AS 1426 · Alaska · 2h 11m · 41% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:44 SEA → 15:38 DEN
    AS 535 · Alaska · 2h 54m · 78% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h ahead of San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 18mSJC 08:20 to DEN 15:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.