tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Austin via Seattle: arrives on time 51%

  1. 08:20 SJC → 10:31 SEA
    AS 1426 · Alaska · 2h 11m · 41% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:46 SEA → 18:04 AUS
    AS 604 · Alaska · 4h 18m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 2 h ahead of San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip7h 44mSJC 08:20 to AUS 18:04, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.