tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Eugene via Seattle: arrives on time 37%

  1. 08:20 SJC → 10:31 SEA
    AS 1426 · Alaska · 2h 11m · 41% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:37 SEA → 13:01 EUG
    AS 3360 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 24m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection45%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 55% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (45%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip4h 41mSJC 08:20 to EUG 13:01, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.