tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Fairbanks via Minneapolis: arrives on time 75%

  1. 10:30 PDX → 15:58 MSP
    AS 1429 · Alaska · 3h 28m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 12m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 18:10 MSP → 20:43 FAI
    DL 1055 · Delta · 5h 33m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fairbanks is 1 h behind Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 42 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 12m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip11h 13mPDX 10:30 to FAI 20:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.