tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Sacramento via San Diego: arrives on time 80%

  1. 14:23 SEA → 17:17 SAN
    AS 1432 · Alaska · 2h 54m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 39m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:56 SAN → 21:45 SMF
    AS 3006 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 49m · 84% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 114 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 39m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 22mSEA 14:23 to SMF 21:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.