tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → San Jose via Portland: arrives on time 71%

  1. 18:17 MSP → 20:07 PDX
    AS 1434 · Alaska · 3h 50m · 82% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 23m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 PDX → 23:21 SJC
    AS 678 · Alaska · 1h 51m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 38 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 23m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip7h 04mMSP 18:17 to SJC 23:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.