tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Palm Springs via San Francisco: arrives on time 10%

  1. 10:42 PDX → 12:39 SFO
    AS 1445 · Alaska · 1h 57m · 55% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:31 SFO → 15:11 PSP
    AS 3081 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 40m · 31% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection34%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 66% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time10%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (34%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (31%).
Total trip4h 29mPDX 10:42 to PSP 15:11, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.