tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Hebron via Las Vegas: arrives on time 89%

  1. 16:19 SEA → 18:54 LAS
    AS 1456 · Alaska · 2h 35m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:14 LAS → 05:00 CVG +1 day
    DL 2794 · Delta · 3h 46m · 92% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 9h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip9h 41mSEA 16:19 to CVG 05:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.