tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Miami via Seattle: arrives on time 74%

  1. 14:55 OAK → 17:00 SEA
    AS 1464 · Alaska · 2h 05m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 45m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 20:45 SEA → 05:37 MIA +1 day
    AA 1471 · American · 5h 52m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 3 h ahead of Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 45m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip11h 42mOAK 14:55 to MIA 05:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.