tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Burbank via Seattle: arrives on time 46%

  1. 14:55 OAK → 17:00 SEA
    AS 1464 · Alaska · 2h 05m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:58 SEA → 20:39 BUR
    AS 1585 · Alaska · 2h 41m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 44mOAK 14:55 to BUR 20:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.