tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Lihue via Seattle: arrives on time 57%

  1. 14:55 OAK → 17:00 SEA
    AS 1464 · Alaska · 2h 05m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:13 SEA → 21:25 LIH
    AS 237 · Alaska · 6h 12m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip9h 30mOAK 14:55 to LIH 21:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.