tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Ontario via Seattle: arrives on time 33%

  1. 14:55 OAK → 17:00 SEA
    AS 1464 · Alaska · 2h 05m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:51 SEA → 20:32 ONT
    AS 592 · Alaska · 2h 41m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection45%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 55% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (45%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 37mOAK 14:55 to ONT 20:32, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.