tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Eugene via San Diego: arrives on time 60%

  1. 07:26 SEA → 10:23 SAN
    AS 1471 · Alaska · 2h 57m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:25 SAN → 14:00 EUG
    AS 3038 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 2h 35m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 34mSEA 07:26 to EUG 14:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.