tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Fresno via Seattle: arrives on time 67%

  1. 06:18 SAN → 09:19 SEA
    AS 1473 · Alaska · 3h 01m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:13 SEA → 12:31 FAT
    AS 383 · Alaska · 2h 18m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 13mSAN 06:18 to FAT 12:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.