tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Santa Ana via Seattle: arrives on time 82%

  1. 12:57 SMF → 14:56 SEA
    AS 1476 · Alaska · 1h 59m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 24m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:20 SEA → 20:08 SNA
    AS 472 · Alaska · 2h 48m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 99 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 24m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip7h 11mSMF 12:57 to SNA 20:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.