tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → New York via Seattle: arrives on time 78%

  1. 00:57 ANC → 05:28 SEA
    AS 1498 · Alaska · 3h 31m · 90% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 32m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:00 SEA → 15:29 JFK
    AS 26 · Alaska · 5h 29m · 86% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 10h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 4 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 47 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 32m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip10h 32mANC 00:57 to JFK 15:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.