tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Dulles via Seattle: arrives on time 81%

  1. 00:57 ANC → 05:28 SEA
    AS 1498 · Alaska · 3h 31m · 90% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 45m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:13 SEA → 17:11 IAD
    AS 737 · Alaska · 4h 58m · 84% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 12h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 4 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 180 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 45m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip12h 14mANC 00:57 to IAD 17:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.