tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → San Jose via San Diego: arrives on time 64%

  1. 08:59 DCA → 11:39 SAN
    AS 15 · Alaska · 5h 40m · 72% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:59 SAN → 14:38 SJC
    AS 3429 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 39m · 76% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip8h 39mDCA 08:59 to SJC 14:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.