tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Oakland via San Diego: arrives on time 50%

  1. 08:59 DCA → 11:39 SAN
    AS 15 · Alaska · 5h 40m · 72% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 51m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:30 SAN → 16:05 OAK
    WN 3519 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 81 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 51m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip10h 06mDCA 08:59 to OAK 16:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.