tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Anchorage via Fairbanks: arrives on time 82%

  1. 12:00 SEA → 14:55 FAI
    AS 1507 · Alaska · 3h 55m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Fairbanks (FAI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:15 FAI → 18:18 ANC
    AS 2102 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 03m · 88% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 1 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 18mSEA 12:00 to ANC 18:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.