tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fairbanks → Minneapolis via Seattle: arrives on time 89%

  1. 15:53 FAI → 20:36 SEA
    AS 1508 · Alaska · 3h 43m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 23m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:59 SEA → 05:17 MSP +1 day
    DL 953 · Delta · 3h 18m · 91% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 10h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 3 h ahead of Fairbanks). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 113 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 23m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip10h 24mFAI 15:53 to MSP 05:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.