tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fairbanks → Anchorage via Seattle: arrives on time 79%

  1. 00:19 FAI → 05:00 SEA
    AS 1509 · Alaska · 3h 41m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 06:03 SEA → 08:40 ANC
    AS 85 · Alaska · 3h 37m · 88% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip8h 21mFAI 00:19 to ANC 08:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.