tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fairbanks → Portland via Seattle: arrives on time 91%

  1. 00:19 FAI → 05:00 SEA
    AS 1509 · Alaska · 3h 41m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 42m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 06:42 SEA → 07:37 PDX
    AS 2432 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 55m · 98% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 1 h ahead of Fairbanks). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 57 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 42m layover.
Arrives on time91%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (98%).
Total trip6h 18mFAI 00:19 to PDX 07:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.