tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fairbanks → Denver via Seattle: arrives on time 89%

  1. 00:19 FAI → 05:00 SEA
    AS 1509 · Alaska · 3h 41m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 56m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:56 SEA → 12:45 DEN
    UA 1505 · United · 2h 49m · 92% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 10h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h ahead of Fairbanks). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 146 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 56m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip10h 26mFAI 00:19 to DEN 12:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.