tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Houston via Seattle: arrives on time 70%

  1. 18:02 ANC → 22:37 SEA
    AS 1518 · Alaska · 3h 35m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:57 SEA → 06:20 IAH +1 day
    AS 398 · Alaska · 4h 23m · 82% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 9h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 3 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip9h 18mANC 18:02 to IAH 06:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.