tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Atlanta via Seattle: arrives on time 62%

  1. 18:02 ANC → 22:37 SEA
    AS 1518 · Alaska · 3h 35m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:31 SEA → 07:24 ATL +1 day
    AS 464 · Alaska · 4h 53m · 88% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 9h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 4 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip9h 22mANC 18:02 to ATL 07:24, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.