tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Portland via Seattle: arrives on time 54%

  1. 18:02 ANC → 22:37 SEA
    AS 1518 · Alaska · 3h 35m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:26 SEA → 00:22 PDX +1 day
    AS 2377 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 56m · 86% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 1 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip5h 20mANC 18:02 to PDX 00:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.