tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fairbanks → Chicago via Portland: arrives on time 72%

  1. 00:39 FAI → 05:30 PDX
    AS 1520 · Alaska · 3h 51m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:00 PDX → 13:13 ORD
    AS 324 · Alaska · 4h 13m · 74% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 9h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 3 h ahead of Fairbanks). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip9h 34mFAI 00:39 to ORD 13:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.