tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fairbanks → Denver via Portland: arrives on time 95%

  1. 00:39 FAI → 05:30 PDX
    AS 1520 · Alaska · 3h 51m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Portland (PDX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:50 PDX → 12:24 DEN
    UA 2375 · United · 2h 34m · 97% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 9h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h ahead of Fairbanks). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time95%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (97%).
Total trip9h 45mFAI 00:39 to DEN 12:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.