tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → San Diego via San Francisco: arrives on time 42%

  1. 13:28 LAX → 14:51 SFO
    AS 1522 · Alaska · 1h 23m · 48% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 33m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:24 SFO → 18:09 SAN
    AS 3337 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 45m · 59% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 48 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 33m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip4h 41mLAX 13:28 to SAN 18:09, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.